Thursday, June 11, 2009

Climate change can cause severe financial woes… Even for Alberta

Alberta’s attempts to cut spending this year in order to deal with the reality of deficits are being hampered by, of all things, the weather. The province is suffering what could be the driest year in the past 25, or at the least the 2nd driest. As a result of this, the province will have to shell out more money than expected to bail out its farmers and fight a larger number of forest fires.

Now while this year’s water problems in Wild Rose Country can’t be uniquely attributed to changing climate patterns, it’s worth noting that these problems with water availability are exactly the type that can be expected if current predictions hold true. If modeled temperatures are correct, we could see a 2 degree increase from 1980’s mean annual temperature by 2030, an 5 degrees by 2070 (according to the UofA’s Environmental Research and Studies Centre).

So what does that mean? A 2-4 degree increase would have the affect of shifting the climate near Lethbridge north to areas like Calgary or Red Deer. A 3-5 degree increase shifts Calgary’s climate to High Level – a 14 hour drive to the north.


I wonder what the fires and droughts would be like then.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Climate models have been 100% wrong since 1988 . . . what leads you to believe that in the future they will get any more accurate?
The reality is that we have just had one of the coolest years in the northern hemisphere in 40 odd years. Satelite data informs us that the average global temperature is now at 1940 levels.
Since sunspot activity declined in the last 8 years the globe has been cooling . . . the only warming going on is in the climate modellers minds . . .

lyrical said...

Debate resumed in the HoC on Thursday, June 11th, on Stéphane Dion's Renewable Energy Bill M-295. The video clip runs from 07:12:00 to 07:32:50, and 07:34:50 to 07:59:15.

Perhaps people could write to their MP, and also their closest Conservative MP, to ask them to support this Bill. Information on IRENA is here. Afghanistan is a member and so is Iran.

Dunkler said...

Anon: Are you just repeating talking points you've been given, or do you just make stuff like that up?

WRT predictions since 1988, you're somewhat correct, however not in the way I believe you intended. Predictions have been readjusted since then, because things are progressing worse than expected
http://news.stanford.edu/news/2009/february18/aaas-field-global-warming-ipcc-021809.html

http://uk.reuters.com/article/scienceNews/idUKTRE51D29E20090214

As for 2008? Actually it was the 10th warmest on record - moderated somewhat by a La Nina event.
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=29342&Cr=climate&Cr1

lyrical said...

Update June 17th: Stéphane Dion's Motion M-295 on Renewable Energy is carried in Parliament - Yeas 146, Nays 141. See ParlVU clip, 01:15:45 to 01:25:00. There was also an article in The Star on June 16th about it.