Thursday, July 23, 2009

Nate Silver’s Challenge to Climate Change Deniers

This should be interesting. I haven’t been paying much attention to FiveThirtyEight.com a whole lot since the US election, but it appears I should be.

In a recent post, Nate has decided to take on the problem of the faulty “its cold today therefore climate change is a myth” logic. His challenge (open to US residents only) is that for every day the taker’s hometown is at least 1 degree Fahrenheit above average, the taker owes him $25. For every day it’s at least 1F below average, Nate pays $25.

No takers yet. It’ll be interesting to see if anyone does eventually takes him up on this, and before anyone asks; no I won’t be making a similar offer for a number of reasons - not the least of which is that I have better things to do with my time than manage the data for this sort of wager.

4 comments:

Dunkler said...

Ooops. Accidentally deleted this last post.

To the individual who argued that "no one is arguing it isn't happening, just that humans aren't causing it" I encourage you to bring forward a peer-reviewed article from a reputable scientific journal (preferably Nature or Science) and we'll go from there

Anonymous said...

Plenty of people are arguing it isn't happening, i.e. George Will, Mark Steyn etc. They are wrong.

Marion Gail said...

In 25 years from now they will be laughing at us about the "Global Warming" hysteria. We will have a new chicken little problem to worry about by then that will shell out trillions to the scientific community.

daryanto said...

good information